Market Updates.

Overall, the economy has proven resilient and remains strong.

  • Gas prices have been slowly rising mainly due to OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) cutting petroleum production by one million barrels per day.
  • Russia and Saudi Arabia also extended their production cuts through the end of the year.
  • We may also experience temporary gas price increases due to Florida hurricanes, but as long as major refineries are not impacted, prices should bounce back.
  • Inflation rose less than expected over the last month by just 0.2% to the current rate of 3.2%.
  • Employment and job openings have dropped resulting in the unemployment rate rising to 3.8%.
  • Because the inflation rate remains higher than the Federal Reserve would like (3.2% compared to 2%), two more interest rate increases are expected. The Stock Market was down at the beginning of the month due to the latest interest rate increase, but the Market is now back up.

Sources

Join us for the next Ask Triangle!

Securities and Advisory Services offered through Harbour Investments, Inc. Member SIPC & FINRA.

Preparing for the eventual distribution of your assets may not sound enticing. But a will puts the power in your hands.

Only one-third of adults have an estate strategy document such as a will in place, which may not be entirely surprising. No one wants to be reminded of their own mortality or spend too much time thinking about what might happen once they’re gone.1

But a will is an instrument of power. Creating one gives you control over the distribution of your assets. If you die without one, the state decides what becomes of your property without regard to your priorities.A will is a legal document by which an individual or a couple (known as “testator”) identifies their wishes regarding the distribution of their assets after death. A will can typically be broken down into four main parts.

1. Executors – Most wills begin by naming an executor. Executors are responsible for carrying out the wishes outlined in a will. This involves assessing the value of the estate, gathering the assets, paying inheritance tax and other debts (if necessary), and distributing assets among beneficiaries. It’s recommended that you name at least two executors, in case your first choice is unable to fulfill the obligation.

2. Guardians – A will allows you to designate a guardian for your minor children. Whomever you appoint, you will want to make sure beforehand that the individual is able and willing to assume the responsibility. For many people, this is the most important part of a will since, if you die without naming a guardian, the court will decide who takes care of your children.

3. Gifts – This section enables you to identify people or organizations to whom you wish to give gifts of money or specific possessions, such as jewelry or a car. You can also specify conditional gifts, such as a sum of money to a young daughter, but only when she reaches a certain age.

4. Estate – Your estate encompasses everything you own, including real property, financial investments, cash, and personal possessions. Once you have identified specific gifts you would like to distribute, you can apportion the rest of your estate in equal shares among your heirs, or you can split it into percentages. For example, you may decide to give 45 percent each to two children and the remaining 10 percent to a sibling.

The law does not require that a will be drawn up by a professional, and some people choose to create their own wills at home. But where wills are concerned, there is little room for error. You will not be around when the will is read to correct technical errors or clear up confusion. When you draft a will, consider enlisting the help of a legal or financial professional, especially if you have a large estate or complex family situation.

Preparing for the eventual distribution of your assets may not sound enticing. But remember, a will puts the power in your hands. You have worked hard to create a legacy for your loved ones. You deserve to decide what becomes of it.

1. Caring.com, 2023
The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. It may not be used for the purpose of avoiding any federal tax penalties. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG, LLC, is not affiliated with the named broker-dealer, state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Copyright FMG Suite.

If your family relies on your income, it’s critical to consider having enough life insurance to provide for them after you pass away. But too often, life insurance is an overlooked aspect of personal finances.

In fact, according to a 2021 study conducted by Life Happens and LIMRA, which closely follows life insurance trends, nearly 50 percent of Americans say that they have no life insurance coverage at all, even though 59% of people without life insurance recognize the need to obtain it.1

Role of Life Insurance

Realizing the role life insurance can play in your family’s finances is an important first step. A critical second step is determining how much life insurance you may need.

Several factors will affect the cost and availability of life insurance, including age, health, and the type and amount of insurance purchased. Life insurance policies have expenses, including mortality and other charges. If a policy is surrendered prematurely, the policyholder also may pay surrender charges and have income tax implications. You should consider determining whether you are insurable before implementing a strategy involving life insurance. Any guarantees associated with a policy are dependent on the ability of the issuing insurance company to continue making claim payments.

Rule of Thumb

One widely followed rule of thumb for estimating a person’s insurance needs is based on income. One broad guide suggests a person may need a life insurance policy valued at five times their annual income. Others recommend up to ten times one’s annual income.

If you are looking for a more accurate estimate, consider completing a “DNA test.” A DNA test, or Detailed Needs Analysis, takes into account a wide range of financial commitments to help better estimate insurance needs.

The first step is to add up needs and obligations.

Short-Term Needs

Which funds will need to be available for final expenses? These may include costs of a funeral, final medical bills, and any outstanding debts, such as credit cards or personal loans. How much to make available for short-term needs will depend on your individual situation.

Long-Term Needs

How much will it cost to maintain your family’s standard of living? How much is spent on necessities, like housing, food, and clothing? Also, consider factoring in expenses, such as travel and entertainment. Ask yourself, “what would it cost per year to maintain this current lifestyle?”

New Obligations

What additional expenses may arise in the future? What family considerations will need to be addressed, especially if there are young children? Will aging parents need some kind of support? How about college costs? Factoring in potential new obligations allows for a more accurate picture of ongoing financial needs.

Next, subtract all current assets available.

Liquid Assets

Any assets that can be redeemed quickly and for a predictable price are considered liquid. Generally, houses and cars are not considered liquid assets since time may be required to sell them. Also, remember that selling a home may adjust a family’s current standard of living.

Needs and obligations – minus liquid assets – can help you get a better idea of the amount of life insurance coverage you may need. While this exercise is a good start to understanding your insurance needs, a more detailed review may be necessary to better assess your situation.

1. LIMRA.com, 2021
The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. It may not be used for the purpose of avoiding any federal tax penalties. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG, LLC, is not affiliated with the named broker-dealer, state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Copyright FMG Suite.

Market Updates

  • Overall, the economy continues to be strong and resilient.
  • A recent Jobs Report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed 339,000 jobs added and that the unemployment rate rose to 3.7%. It is interesting to note that the jobless rate is both the highest it’s been since October 2022 and near the lowest since 1969.
  • The U.S. Debt Ceiling deal was reached, which includes suspending a limit until 2025 and an increase in the debt ceiling.
  • The Stock Market has seen some successes recently, notably in the tech sector. The NASDAQ has now been on the rise for six consecutive weeks.
  • With inflation still higher than desired, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates again in July.
  • Despite the increase of interest rates ten time over the last year, consumers seem to be optimistic based on spending reports.
  • We still haven’t seen a marked increase in gas prices, though they may go up later this summer. Saudi Arabia announced a plan to cut oil output in July, which could potentially affect prices.

As these updates indicate, the economy is not always predictable. If you’ve been keeping up with “Ask Triangle” on a monthly basis, you’ve likely noticed a few unexpected outcomes from previous predictions. That’s why our team places value on diversified portfolios, which helps us to proactively manage risk and increase stability in a volatile market.

Ask Triangle Question

Q: Are there any updates to you’re hearing about a recession, such as timing and depth?

A: Based on May meeting minutes from the Federal Reserving, a recession is still anticipated sometime in the fall or early winter. Fortunately, it is expected to be a shallow recession. It’s worth noting that the timing of when the recession is expected continues to be pushed further into the future. The uncertainty around timing is likely related to the surprisingly resilient market and consumer optimism, despite inflation and the constant interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve.

In preparation for the possibility of a recession, let us know if you’d like to re-evaluate any or all of the following:

  • Cash-flow needs and distribution methods
  • Emergency savings, and how to build some
  • Other concerns around financial stability in an uncertain economic outlook

Our goal as your financial advisory team is to help you navigate uncertain times like these. Please don’t hesitate to reach out to us for any reason or concern!

Sources

Join us for the next Ask Triangle on Friday, July 7th!

Securities and Advisory Services offered through Harbour Investments, Inc. Member SIPC & FINRA.

Market Updates

  • According to the recent U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employment Situation Summery for April, the economy continues to be strong with unemployment low at 3.4% and job growth reaching 253,000. In particular, the leisure and hospitality industry has seen an upward trend in employment as consumers spend more on travel and hotel stays, also a positive sign for the current economy.
  • The Federal Reserve again raised interest rates in April from 5% to 5.25%. In June, rates are likely to rise again in an effort to decrease inflation from the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) report of 5% down to 2%.
  • On May 9, Federal Reserve President John Williams spoke to the New York Economic Club sharing that interest rates may continue to rise and that getting the CPI back to 2% could take as long as two years.
  • While there are still conflicting opinions, there is a general consensus that some level of recession can be expected by fall. Considering continued job growth and economic resilience despite increasing inflation and interest rates, a recession is likely to be smaller in scale.
  • Surprisingly, oil prices are lower than expected despite supply cuts by OPEC+ producers. This is considered to be due in part to lower demand as China reopens their oil production. However, warmer summer weather typically increases travel and demand, which will likely result in higher gas prices.


Sources

Join us for the next Ask Triangle!
Securities and Advisory Services offered through Harbour Investments, Inc. Member SIPC & FINRA.

“If the current annual inflation rate is 7.9 percent, why do my bills seem like they’re 10 percent higher than last year?”1

Many of us ask ourselves that question, and it illustrates the importance of understanding how inflation is reported and how it can affect investments.

What Is Inflation?

Inflation is defined as an upward movement in the average level of prices. Each month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases a report called the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to track these fluctuations. It was developed from detailed expenditure information provided by families and individuals on purchases made in the following categories: food and beverages, housing, apparel, transportation, medical care, recreation, education and communication, and other groups and services.2

How Applicable Is the CPI?

While it’s the commonly used indicator of inflation, the CPI has come under scrutiny. For example, the CPI rose 7.9 percent for the 12-months ending in February 2022. However, a closer look at the report shows movement in prices on a more detailed level. Energy prices, for example, rose 25.6 percent during those 12 months.1

Are Investments Affected by Inflation?

They sure are. As inflation rises and falls, three notable effects are observed.

First, inflation reduces the real rate of return on investments. So, if an investment earned 6 percent for a 12-month period and inflation averaged 1.5 percent over that time, the investment’s real rate of return would have been 4.5 percent. If taxes are considered, the real rate of return may be reduced even further.3

Second, inflation puts purchasing power at risk. When prices rise, a fixed amount of money has the power to purchase fewer and fewer goods.

Third, inflation can influence the actions of the Federal Reserve. If the Fed wants to control inflation, it has various methods for reducing the amount of money in circulation. Hypothetically, a smaller supply of money would lead to less spending, which may lead to lower prices and lower inflation.

Empower Yourself with a Trusted Professional

When inflation is low, it’s easy to overlook how rising prices are affecting a household budget. On the other hand, when inflation is high, it may be tempting to make more sweeping changes in response to increasing prices. The best approach may be to reach out to your financial professional to help you develop a sound investment strategy that takes both possible scenarios into account.

1. USInflationCalculator.com, 2022
2. BLS.gov, 2022
3. This is a hypothetical example used for illustrative purposes only. It is not representative of any specific investment or combination of investments. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

 

The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The information in this material is not intended as tax or legal advice. It may not be used for the purpose of avoiding any federal tax penalties. Please consult legal or tax professionals for specific information regarding your individual situation. This material was developed and produced by FMG Suite to provide information on a topic that may be of interest. FMG, LLC, is not affiliated with the named broker-dealer, state- or SEC-registered investment advisory firm. The opinions expressed and material provided are for general information, and should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Copyright FMG Suite.
css.php